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China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

Beizheng 50 rose more than 1%, Huayang Racing Car had a daily limit of 30CM, and Ricky Zhizao, Fuheng New Materials and Bai Xinglong rose more than 10%.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Huaan, AVIC, etc. lined up to enter the ranks of public offering warehousing logistics REITs. According to the announcement of AVIC Fund, the AVIC Yishang warehousing logistics REITs jointly built with ESR Group, the largest new economic real estate management company in the Asia-Pacific region, are being issued. This is the first REIT issued by ESR Group in China, and its infrastructure assets consist of three warehousing and logistics parks, namely, Phase I, Phase II and Phase III of Fulaide Kunshan Logistics Park. According to the data of wind, up to now, Huaxia Fund, harvest fund, Huatai Securities Asset Management, Hongtu Innovation Fund and CICC Fund all have a listed warehousing and logistics REIT, while Huaan Waigaoqiao REIT, which was established on December 12th, has not been listed yet. In addition, Huaxia Fund and southern fund's newly declared warehousing logistics REIT are in the inquiry stage, while Huitianfu's warehousing logistics REIT is in the feedback stage.

The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 394.6 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 596.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 11.1 billion yuan.Yu Chengdong Tik Tok rose more than 400,000 yuan overnight. On the evening of 12th, Yu Chengdong registered Tik Tok account, and the authentication information was displayed as "Managing Director of Huawei, Chairman of BG& BU, a terminal smart car solution". As of the 13th, the powder rose by over 400,000 overnight. (Oriental Finance)The cultural media sector rose and strengthened, with more than 10 daily limit shares, including Tianyu Digital, Guangbo, Palm Reading Technology, vision china, Huizhou Intelligent, Guangdong Media, Tianxiaxiu and Lingnan.